Moncton Real Estate Market Update: January 2026 Shows Stabilizing Trends Amid Seasonal Slowdown
January market data reveals a balanced market taking shape in Greater Moncton as inventory grows and prices stabilize
MONCTON, NB – February 13, 2026
Key Market Highlights: January 2026 vs. January 2025
| Metric | January 2026 | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Sales Activity | 182 properties sold | ↓ 2.2% |
| Dollar Volume | $68.1 million | ↓ 7.7% |
| New Listings | 324 properties | ↓ 2.4% |
| Active Listings | 949 properties | ↑ 10.9% |
| Months of Inventory | 5.2 months | ↑ from 4.6 months |
Price Trends: Stability After Years of Growth
The January 2026 data shows an interesting divergence between average and median pricing metrics:
| Price Metric | January 2026 | Year-over-Year Change |
|---|---|---|
| Average Price | $373,997 | ↓ 5.6% |
| Median Price | $360,000 | ↑ 0.8% |
| Composite Benchmark Price (HPI) | $362,600 | ↑ 5.5% |
| Single-Detached Benchmark Price (HPI) | $362,600 | ↑ 5.5% |
This contrast suggests the market is experiencing a compositional shift – with fewer ultra-high-end sales pulling down the average price, while the typical home price (median) remains remarkably stable. This pattern often indicates a maturing market where price growth is normalizing after extended periods of rapid appreciation.
More significantly, the MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) – which measures price trends for similar properties while controlling for changes in housing mix – shows the underlying value of homes continues to appreciate:
"The HPI data tells an important story," notes local market analyst. "While headline average prices may fluctuate based on what types of homes sell in a given month, the fundamental value of properties in our region continues to show healthy, sustainable growth."
What This Means for Buyers and Sellers
For Buyers
January's increased inventory (up nearly 11% year-over-year) means more selection and less intense competition than seen in recent years. With 5.2 months of inventory, buyers now have breathing room to make thoughtful decisions rather than feeling pressured into immediate offers. The stabilizing median price also suggests a more predictable market environment.
For Sellers
While the market has cooled from the feverish pace of 2021-2022, fundamentals remain strong. Properly priced homes in desirable locations continue to attract interest. Sellers should work closely with their REALTORS® to set realistic expectations based on current comparable sales rather than peak pandemic-era prices.
Looking Ahead
January's market activity shouldn't be viewed in isolation – it represents just one month in a seasonal cycle where winter typically sees reduced activity. What matters more is the trajectory: growing inventory combined with stable underlying values suggests Greater Moncton is moving toward a more sustainable, balanced market after years of seller-dominated conditions.
As we move into spring – traditionally the busiest season for real estate – market watchers will be monitoring whether new listing supply continues to meet buyer demand, and whether the modest price adjustments seen in average metrics translate to broader market stabilization.
Source: Moncton and Area Residential Market Activity and MLS® Home Price Index Report, January 2026, prepared by the Canadian Real Estate Association for the New Brunswick REALTORS® du Nouveau-Brunswick.
Note: January is historically one of the slowest months for real estate activity in Atlantic Canada due to seasonal factors. Year-over-year comparisons provide more meaningful insights than month-to-month fluctuations during winter months.