Greater Moncton Real Estate in 2026: A Tale of Two Markets

January 1, 2026

As we step into 2026, the Greater Moncton real estate market tells a clear—and increasingly divergent—story. Divided into two distinct geographies, the core urban zone (Moncton, Dieppe, and Riverview) and the outlying communities, the data through December 2025 paints a picture of stability in the city center and mounting challenges in the surrounding towns and rural areas.

📈 Core Region: Steady as She Goes

Over the past five years, Moncton, Dieppe, and Riverview have demonstrated remarkable resilience.

Price Growth

The median sale price jumped from $236,000 in January 2021 to $366,500 by December 2025—a gain of more than 55%. While prices briefly touched $405,000 in mid-2025, they’ve since settled into a more sustainable range in the high $300Ks.

Inventory Levels

Supply remains relatively tight. At 6 months of inventory in December 2025, the market has shifted from the ultra-competitive seller’s paradise of 2021–2022 (when inventory hovered around 2 months) to a more balanced environment.

Sales Activity

Transactions are down from pandemic-era highs—113 sales in December 2025, compared to 160 in December 2021—but demand remains steady, supported by population growth, employment opportunities, and strong local infrastructure.

What to Expect in 2026:
The core market is likely to see flat to modest price growth (1–3%), with neither buyers nor sellers holding a decisive upper hand. Well-priced, move-in-ready homes will still sell quickly, but overpriced listings may linger.

🏡 Outlying Region: A Buyer’s Paradise (For Now)

Beyond the urban core, the story is very different.

Price Volatility

The median price in outlying areas rose from $142,500 in early 2021 to $250,000 by year-end 2025—solid appreciation, but with noticeable fluctuations and recent softening.

High Inventory

With 1,179 active listings and 11 months of inventory as of December 2025, this is a textbook buyer’s market. Homes are taking longer to sell, and sellers are feeling the pressure.

Listing Expirations

A troubling signal: 537 listings expired in December 2025—nearly double the number from February 2021. This suggests many sellers are still pricing based on 2021–2022 market conditions, not today’s reality.

What to Expect in 2026:
Downward price pressure is likely in the outskirts. Sellers who want results will need to price aggressively and be prepared to negotiate. Buyers, meanwhile, will enjoy expanded choice, longer decision windows, and potential concessions.

📊 Market Snapshot: December 2025

Metric	Core (M/D/R)	Outlying Region
Median Sale Price	$366,500	$250,000
Active Listings	663	1,179
Months of Inventory	6 months	11 months
Number of Sales	113	106

Source: Greater Moncton Real Estate Data, Dec 2025

🔮 Looking Ahead to 2026

The overarching trend across the entire Greater Moncton area is cooling with caution. While the core remains fundamentally strong, the broader region is adjusting to higher interest rates, affordability constraints, and shifting buyer expectations.

• Inventory will likely keep rising in early 2026, especially if more sellers list in anticipation of spring—potentially deepening the buyer’s advantage.
• Days on market are increasing, giving buyers more time to shop and compare.
• Pricing discipline will be critical: homes priced to reflect current conditions will sell; those anchored to past highs may sit for months.

💡 Final Thoughts

For buyers, 2026 offers opportunity—especially outside the core, where negotiation power is high and selection is wide.

For sellers, success will depend on realism. The market no longer rewards optimism over evidence. Strategic pricing, strong presentation, and patience will be essential.

And for investors or relocators, the Moncton region still offers long-term potential—but location now matters more than ever.

Stay informed. Price wisely. And remember: in real estate, timing and knowledge are everything.